Rodriguez said the X-ray on his fractured hand showed that it’s healing well and that team medical staff was encouraged. He will be with the team on the coming road trip, do strengthening exercises and be re-evaluated on Thursday.
When he does return, the Yankees will need Rodriguez's bat more than ever. The Yankees can't afford to slip into the Wild Card spot - a notion that seems unlikely, but with Tampa Bay only three games back and closing fast, it is entirely possible. And when the Yankees do make the play-offs, their $275 million third baseman will be a necessary tool in defeating any team they're matched up with.
Let's look at some potential play-off scenarios for the Yankees in the Division Series (this is of course assuming the Yankees win the division). The teams we will look at are all within 3.5 games of a play-off spot.
The Yankees have the second best record in the American League, and they're not far behind Texas for the best. This means they could take on the winner of the Wild Card play-in game. As it stands now, the two Wild Card teams would be Tampa Bay and Oakland, but Baltimore is right there (that's right, we may see three teams in the postseason from the AL East). Baltimore and Detroit are both within a game of the second Wild Card spot. We'll even throw the Los Angeles Angels in the mix as they are 3.5 games back of a Wild Card spot. In theory, the Yankees could be facing any one of those five teams in the Division Series. How does Alex Rodriguez stack up in each match-up?
A-Rod vs. Tampa Bay
This would be familiar territory for both Alex Rodriguez and the Yankees. While the two teams have not met in the postseason, they play each other 18 times per year. In 192 games against the Rays, Rodrigeuz has a .273/.360/.526 line with 46 home runs.
In other words, Rodriguez smashes Rays' pitching. However, these are regular season numbers. The postseason is a different beast. Starters will pitch on less rest, the rotation is reduced, and players are playing for their baseball lives. That being said, Rodriguez has actually performed very well in high leverage situations - situations where the win probability can change dramatically based on the circumstances. In these situations, Rodriguez is a .303/.390/.578 hitter.
While the Rays have been a new team since 2008, they have yet to capture a World Series or be truly dominant. They made it to the World Series in 2009 but lost to the Phillies. The Yankees, on the other hand, won the World Series in 2009. Tampa, though, has been hot of late and they still have a solid young core of pitchers including
David Price,
Jeremy Hellickson, and
James Shields.
A-Rod vs. Oakland
Billy Beane has the A's back in the postseason hunt again. They just lost
Bartolo Colon which will be a big blow, but they got back
Brett Anderson - their impressive young lefty who is returning from Tommy John surgery. And Rodriguez has been decent, not great against the A's.
In his career, Rodriguez has hit .286/.364/.527 with 43 home runs in 176 games against Oakland. The Yankees do seem to have the A's number come the postseason, but those past meetings were before Rodriguez became a member of the Yankees. To date, Rodriguez has not faced the A's in the postseason.
This season, Rodriguez has played 29 games against the A's. He's put up decent number, but not great numbers. In those 29 games, A-Rod has hit .310/.344/.345. As you can see from his slugging percentage, Rodriguez is missing the power stroke when he plays against the A's this year.
A-Rod vs. Baltimore
Another American League East foe. Rodriguez has destroyed the Orioles. In 220 games, he has hit .305/.388/.565 with 57 home runs and 187 RBI. His strikeout/walk ration against Baltimore isn't too bad either at 169/109.
The Orioles have been a surprising story all season long. They have been outscored by 54 runs, the most in the American League East. They don't have a dominant offense or a dominant pitching staff. Their offense ranks 24th in batting average, and their pitching ranks 19th in ERA. Come postseason time, they will need impressive performances to shut down the Yankees and Alex Rodriguez.
Rodriguez has only faced the Orioles in the postseason in one season - 1997. It was so long ago, the number mean virtually nothing, but they are worth noting. In four games, A-Rod hit .313/.313/.563 with one home run. This was while Rodriguez was still with the Seattle Mariners.
A-Rod vs. Detroit
The Tigers have an impressive pitching staff. They have
Justin Verlander who may be every bit as good as last season, they have
Max Scherzer who is becoming one of the better young pitchers in the game, and they have
Doug Fister who may not be as strong as last season, has been in the postseason with the Tigers before. As for Rodriguez verse the Tigers, he may do his best work against the boys from the Motor City.
In 128 games, Rodriguez has hit .337/.403/.637 with 36 home runs and 116 RBI. That's and MVP type season if it happens all in one year. Rodriguez simply kills Tigers pitching. So far this season, A-Rod continued that trend. In 24 games, he is hitting .375/.464/.750 with 3 home runs. The Tigers are probably not too keen on Rodriguez returning from the DL anytime soon.
In the postseason, Rodriguez has faced Detroit twice. In 2006 and last season, A-Rod struggled despite his impressive career numbers. In four games in 2006, Rodriguez hit just 0.71/.133/.071. In 2011, he hit .11/.261/.111 in five games. So, while Rodriguez will be coming back soon and crushes the Tigers in the regular season, the Yankees may not get the same hitter in the postseason against Detroit.
A-Rod vs. Los Angeles
The Angels are falling off, and may soon find themselves out of the race, but as of now, they are still a contender. Looking at their lineup, the Angels seem to have an All-Star caliber roster, but they have not been able to put it all together this season. And Alex Rodriguez kills them.
In 193 games, Rodriguez is hitting .320/.396/.661 with 70 home runs and 161 RBI. He also has 25 stolen bases against the Angels and the second most total bases of any other opponent he's ever played. Rodriguez dominates the Angels in the regular season, but how what's he done this year, and what's he done in the postseason?
In 38 games against the Angels this year, Rodriguez has hit .316/.350/.500 with 2 home runs. He hasn't walked against them and has struck out eight times - a theme in his appearances against the Angels, but when he puts the ball in play, he finds success. In the postseason against the Angels, he's been solid as well. In two separate match-ups combined, Rodriguez has hit .306. However, in 2005 Rodriguez only hit .133/.435/.200. In 2009, he hit .429/.567/.952 with 3 home runs. The Yankees went on to win the World Series that year.
Overall
There's no question the Yankees want and need Alex Rodriguez back in the lineup. While they've performed well without him, his numbers speak for themselves. He had long been known for an inability to get things done in the postseason, but that designation has ben lifted after he helped the Yankees win the World Series in 2009. Overall, his postseason numbers are more than respectable and any team in the league would take a .277/.386/.498 postseason hitter.
It would seem, the Yankees and Rodriguez would be best serves if they were matched up against the Angels because of the familiarity and Rodriguez's success, but honestly with Rodriguez back from the DL, the Yankees could take on anyone and have huge success. Despite some of the postseason numbers, Rodriguez has put up against a few of the teams in this article, he has only had two bad play-off series since 2007. He's a different hitter in the postseason now. The Yankees should want him, and they definitely need him back.
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